Greentree Hospitality Group Stock Performance

GHG Stock  USD 1.48  0.03  1.99%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.49, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, GreenTree Hospitality's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding GreenTree Hospitality is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, GreenTree Hospitality has a negative expected return of -0.49%. Please make sure to check out GreenTree Hospitality's skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and daily balance of power , to decide if GreenTree Hospitality performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days GreenTree Hospitality Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0311
Payout Ratio
0.373
Forward Dividend Rate
0.06
Dividend Date
2025-11-25
Ex Dividend Date
2025-10-31
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Begin Period Cash Flow791.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities345.4 M

GreenTree Hospitality Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  201.00  in GreenTree Hospitality Group on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (53.00) from holding GreenTree Hospitality Group or give up 26.37% of portfolio value over 90 days. GreenTree Hospitality Group is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.0234% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than GreenTree, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon GreenTree Hospitality is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.69 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.24 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

GreenTree Hospitality Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of GreenTree Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.48 90 days 1.48 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GreenTree Hospitality to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This GreenTree Hospitality Group probability density function shows the probability of GreenTree Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon GreenTree Hospitality has a beta of 0.49. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GreenTree Hospitality average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GreenTree Hospitality Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GreenTree Hospitality Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   GreenTree Hospitality Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GreenTree Hospitality

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GreenTree Hospitality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.002.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.002.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.493.50
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.283.604.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GreenTree Hospitality. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GreenTree Hospitality's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GreenTree Hospitality's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GreenTree Hospitality.

GreenTree Hospitality Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GreenTree Hospitality is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GreenTree Hospitality's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GreenTree Hospitality Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GreenTree Hospitality within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

GreenTree Hospitality Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GreenTree Hospitality for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GreenTree Hospitality can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GreenTree Hospitality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GreenTree Hospitality may become a speculative penny stock
About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

GreenTree Hospitality Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GreenTree Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GreenTree Hospitality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GreenTree Hospitality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding101.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 B

GreenTree Hospitality Fundamentals Growth

GreenTree Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of GreenTree Hospitality, and GreenTree Hospitality fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on GreenTree Stock performance.

About GreenTree Hospitality Performance

By analyzing GreenTree Hospitality's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into GreenTree Hospitality's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if GreenTree Hospitality has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if GreenTree Hospitality has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 2.75  3.55 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.08 

Things to note about GreenTree Hospitality performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about GreenTree Hospitality for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for GreenTree Hospitality help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GreenTree Hospitality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GreenTree Hospitality may become a speculative penny stock
About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating GreenTree Hospitality's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate GreenTree Hospitality's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing GreenTree Hospitality's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether GreenTree Hospitality's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining GreenTree Hospitality's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating GreenTree Hospitality's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of GreenTree Hospitality's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of GreenTree Hospitality's stock. These opinions can provide insight into GreenTree Hospitality's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating GreenTree Hospitality's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact GreenTree Hospitality's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running GreenTree Hospitality's price analysis, check to measure GreenTree Hospitality's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GreenTree Hospitality is operating at the current time. Most of GreenTree Hospitality's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GreenTree Hospitality's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GreenTree Hospitality's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GreenTree Hospitality to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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